Sprague Brook Park

Sardinia, NY — Trail Conditions Report

Last updated: May 18, 2026 at 03:19 PM EDT. Data from Open-Meteo, USGS, and NWS.

Good
6.9Good
0 — Impassable10 — Perfect
✅ Go — Trail conditions are acceptable

Trails are tacky — expect excellent grip, light mud on low sections.

📈 7-day forecast: About the same
85°F (30°C)
Today’s High
3.2 mm / 0.1 in
Precip Last 7 Days

Current Conditions & Forecast

Solid line: observed value; dark ribbon: daily min–max (temp) or 25– 75th percentile (soil/streamflow); light ribbon: 10th–90th percentile. Dotted line: historical median. Gray shading = forecast period.

NWS 7-Day Forecast
This Afternoon
Sunny
86°F
30°C
💧 2%
10 mph
Sunny
Tuesday
Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
85°F
29°C
💧 25%
6 to 14 mph
Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Wednesday
Rain Showers
62°F
17°C
💧 87%
7 mph
Rain Showers
Thursday
Mostly Sunny
58°F
14°C
💧 1%
3 mph
Mostly Sunny
Friday
Partly Sunny then Chance Rain Showers
65°F
18°C
💧 28%
2 to 6 mph
Partly Sunny then Chance Rain Showers
Saturday
Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
63°F
17°C
💧 72%
9 mph
Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Sunday
Rain Showers Likely
70°F
21°C
💧 55%
5 mph
Rain Showers Likely

Compared to Previous Years

Year-to-date precipitation is wetter than 100% of years since 2000.

Historical Conditions — All Years

Vegetation — NDVI (HLS Landsat + Sentinel-2)

Poor/Avoid
1Avoid
0 — No Snow10 — Powder
❌ No-Go — Insufficient snow for skiing

No snow on the ground currently.

0 cm / 0 in
Snow Depth Now
214 cm / 84.4 in
Season Total
54
Snow Days

14-Day Window + 7-Day Forecast

Forecast snow conditions:

Tue Poor/Avoid Avoid
Wed Poor/Avoid Avoid
Thu Poor/Avoid Avoid
Fri Poor/Avoid Avoid
Sat Poor/Avoid Avoid
Sun Poor/Avoid Avoid
NWS 7-Day Forecast
This Afternoon
Sunny
86°F
30°C
💧 2%
10 mph
Sunny
Tuesday
Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
85°F
29°C
💧 25%
6 to 14 mph
Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Wednesday
Rain Showers
62°F
17°C
💧 87%
7 mph
Rain Showers
Thursday
Mostly Sunny
58°F
14°C
💧 1%
3 mph
Mostly Sunny
Friday
Partly Sunny then Chance Rain Showers
65°F
18°C
💧 28%
2 to 6 mph
Partly Sunny then Chance Rain Showers
Saturday
Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
63°F
17°C
💧 72%
9 mph
Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Sunday
Rain Showers Likely
70°F
21°C
💧 55%
5 mph
Rain Showers Likely

Compared to Previous Winters

This season has been snowier than 88% of winters since 2000.

Cumulative Snowfall — All Seasons

Peak Snow Depth by Winter

Trail muddiness is estimated using a weighted average of soil moisture in the top 9 cm (ERA5-Land reanalysis for history, Open-Meteo forecast model for future days). A logistic sigmoid maps soil wetness (0–0.6 m³/m³) to a 0–10 mud score. An additional boost is applied when precipitation exceeds 5 mm in the prior 24 hours. When surface temperature is below 0°C the trail surface is flagged as Frozen.

The model has not been calibrated against field observations at this location — treat mud scores as estimates, especially near the boundaries between named levels.